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that are saying farewell. see what he says about george w. bush and john mccain. this is "the daily rundown." i am chuck todd. let's get to the first reads of the morning. in the last two weeks, we polled in nine battleground states deciding the election. ohio, florida, virginia, colorado, iowa, wisconsin, north carolina, nevada, new hampshire. bad news for mitt romney, he doesn't lead in a single one. at best within the poll's margin of error. at worst, trails by eight points. this morning, how the nine states stack up. we said it again and again. the president's job approval rating may be the best indicator of where the bout may be. where it is more than 50, the president favored to win. iowa, florida, new hampshire, ohio, virginia, his approval rating below that, 47 or 48 in four. colorado, nevada, north carolina, wisconsin. here is a second way to breakdown the numbers. romney struggled with favorability number all year. that number underwater, more voters have unfavorable than favorable view in six states. romney is in positive territory in just three. florida, north carolina, virginia. final
that was been wrongly at the seat of george bush in the republican party when it goes back to democratic house important -- but nevertheless i wrote in that book that romney would make a great presidential nominee. i didn't know who the nominee would be. it's not a book about romney. i was proven remarkably impressionable by the 2007 book. the dean of the columbia school of journalism. the new yorkers national political reporter and always the go to guy for national political stories. the profile the in 2005 for the new yorker. it was a very nice piece. he told his liberal democratic leaders, the most influential conservative you ever heard of. okay. [laughter] that's okay, i guess. i don't really speak to the manhattan crowd, the your crowd. how many of you describe to the new yorker? i rest my case. he had read that and remembered that i've written this book about romney. what do you think now? have read the book. no, i haven't. go back and read in and coming back. he did. he called me back in about a week. what do you think of the book? we talked about it. in fact, i made predictions about
are the republican nominee president george bush, the independent russ perot, and governor bill clinton, the democratic nominee. my name is carole simpson. and i will be the moderator for tonight's 90-minute debate. >> 90-minute debate, she says. that is carole simpson then. and here is carole simpson today. once again, the lady in red. carole simpson, amazing seeing you here, 20 years later, welcome. you know, all kinds of history made that night. you and i were talking on the commercial break, people recognizing you all around the world in the 20 years since. and it was unique about that night, the three debaters, not the usual two, you had, my goodness, questions from the audience, you had yourself, you're the first woman to host a presidential debate. just -- if i may, first question, perspectivewise, you presided over history, did you not? >> i did. and that was the most exciting -- it was the pinnacle of my career to be able to moderate a presidential debate that is like every reporter's dream in washington is to have that opportunity. so i was thrilled. and i don't like you talki
is quite high. george w. bush and karl rove had a brilliant strategy of outreach to hispanic voters. george bush won for these arm of the vote. -- 40% of the boat. -- vote. now romney is pulling at best in the mid-20's. his own campaign has said they need to reach 30% in order to be competitive in the states or the latino vote will be critical. what the republican party has done is lurch to the right instead of george w. bush, john mccain. let's reach out and let's make immigration reform something we are for. he has promised a veto. he is for radical policy description, and the idea of making life so miserable that immigrants are purged from the country. this lurch to the right is hurting badly. their strategy means the southwest is out of reach because of this. they pulled out of new mexico. they have a shot in colorado and nevada. essentially, the hispanic strategy has been let's talk about the economy. the cuban americans are in florida and hope they can peel off enough of them. maybe that will be the trick. the fastest-growing group are the non-portrait in immigrants for whom this is a
actually make it faster. this is where the obama campaign sees their opportunity. george w. bush, obviously, his prime economic policy was a set of very large tax cuts. they did not have a very positive effect on the economy, even before the recession. it was a very, very weak expansion. and so governor romney has come in and he's proposed very, very large tax cuts again. and he hasn't wanted, in order to get away from the bush part, he hasn't wanted to explain them too much. in fact, paul ryan, his running mate says, the math is just too hard. but it really isn't. and i would imagine the obama administration, or obama's going to go through tonight, you really only need to know two numbers about romney's tax plan, one is $480 billion. that's the cost of it in 2015, just to pick one year. and the other is $251 billion. that's the amount that will go to very wealthy families. now, mitt romney's promise, his tax plan won't cost a dime on the deficit. so he somehow needs to get $480 billion out of the tax code by closing breaks and loopholes, seems like the mortgage interest deduction, and also
it for george bush and gave hum four more years. if you are taking the model of 2010, how all these people came out to vote on issues like unemployment, debt and deficit spending and obamacare, well you could make an argument those three issues are still out there. so are those voters still out there? you would argue they are but will they turn out to vote? that will be the key in early november. melissa: bill hemmer, thank you so much. great stuff. apeciate it. >> good to be with you, melissa. melissa: football fans everywhere, hold your breath. the nfl and the referees union may be yards away from getting a deal done. how will the lockout affect the league's bottom line? we're crunching those numbers next. >>> no secret economic growth is sluggish. maybe $488 billion in new regulation costs have something to do with it. what do you think? we have details from a stunning report from u.s. red tape? do you ever have too much money? i know you have too much u.s. regulations. ♪ . melissa: good news for football fans. there are report that is the nfl could be close to reaching an agreement with t
if president obama had done something like that. >> george w. bush. >> from the right or george w. bush, or if mitt romney made a speech and held up that kind of a bomb and drew the line. it boggles the mind. these are serious issues. they are complex. the country and the world deserves to know exactly where we are in the process and where we're going to get to. >> i know that particularly netanyahu always savvy about the american media. this was clearly designed so that more of us would cover this. it was an and t-- antic. >> i think probably benjamin netanyahu's standing with important leaders is pretty well fixed, i don't think it moves it one way or another. he is a hard liner. he doesn't like this administration plainly. they have some real differences. he is quite close to mitt romney. he knew him before -- >> how about the fact, i was going to say, how about the fact today he will speak by phone to both. a world leader doing that -- >> that's a danger for him, i have known him a long time. he is always moving forward. the danger is that he can involve himself too demonstrably in
. president obama had two appointees. george w. bush had two appointees. bill clinton had two. but there could be a bunch in a hurry. justice ginsburg is the most likely to leave. and if president obama wins, that wouldn't change the balance of five republicans and four democrats. but if the five-to-four balance shifts, you could see dramatic dramatic changes in the court. it all depends on who >> do you simply assume president obama would name someone like sonja sot ma yor or clarence thomas for that matter? can you just assume those would be the possibilit probabilities if you will? >> that is precisely what i would assume. you know, there's a mythology about the court that presidents often areurprised by how their justices turn out. but you know, that is very much the exception rather than the rule. if you look at the justices currently on the court right now, every single one of them has turned out more or less as re there are individual cases, there are surprises. i certainly was surpred by roberts' vote in the affordable care act case. hatlarge presidents w you e is what you get. iden yo
, george bush and jon stewart having a field day with those sighs. >> i've had a record of that in texas. >> as if the sighing weren't bad enough, gore's behavior got worse. [ laughter ] >> in that same year we remember that moment when al gore got up, walked over towards then governor bush, and this was his reaction. >> trying to get things done, and i believe i can. [ laughter ] >> famous moment. years prior there was president h.w. bush checking his watch at the debates. these have become famous moments. are these debate prep teams telling their candidates, this is what you don't do? >> at this point in time they're emphasizing style as opposed to substance right now because debates that have changed people's minds have all been about physical characteristics and mannerisms really in the modern age and not about the substance of the policy answers, so they're paying a lot of attention to the style and not the substance. >> you can almost watch the debate with the volume down and determine who wins the thing. you point out something else and you were at this next debate. this was an im
humor, and i'm hoping they will both take a page like ronald reagan did or george bush did. >> dean, thank you very much. it's nice. >> thanks, gary. >>> thank you very much for watching us today. state of the union with candy crowley starts right now. >>> romney's chance to shake things up may come down to four and a half hours. >>> today this week's denver debate. the first of three 09-minute faceoffs. obama versus romney. >> how is it that you're the expert on my position when my position has been very clear? i'll tell you -- >> i'm the expert. i'm the expert, and i'm -- >> when he suggests that senator obama's plan is dangerous -- >> that's not the case. what he said was a precipitous withdrawal would be dangerous. he did not say -- >> he said -- >> sizing up the showdown with a man who has debated both 2012 candidates republican senator john mccain, and then the risk of being the frontrunner with obama's senior advisor david axelrod. plus, polls, ads, and early voting. with republican strategist alex castellanos, and cinderella and congressional correspondent dana bash. i'm can
's important to remember george w. bush and karl rove have a brilliant strategy of outreach to the hispanic voters and a less successful. george bush won at least 40% of the vote. it's more like 40. stila does a remarkable accomplishment, and now he's pulling at best in the mid-20s with the hispanic vote and his own campaign said the need to reach 38% nationally to be competitive in the state where the latino vote will be critical, so the republican party lurched to the right in recent years instead of george w. bush, karl rove, john mccain. let's reach out to the hispanics and make reform something. it's become a party that mitt romney says there is a model he's promised a veto. the gerry before the radical policy prescription called deportation, the idea of making life so miserable here that immigrants are literally purged from the country so it's hurt badly but hispanics. the strategy, that strategy means as you point out in your excellent paper, really the southwest is out of reach in large part because of this. they've pulled off the mexico. they have a shot in colorado and nevada but
george w. bush that cost him a lot. - >> rolling his eyes and -- >> the lock box that nobody understood what he was talking about. and the way -- even the way his makeup looked. one of the problems of these debates anymore, it's not just substance, people are looking at eye rolls and body language, george herbert walker bush famously looked at his wristwatch and it cost him. there's every little nuance, there's the transcript and the television tape and i think the tape trumps transcript in the end. >> ultimately does he really have to participate? could. he say, i'm so busy running this country, look what's happening, the amount of time that i have to put into debate prep and the like, do you really think he would come off as a spoiled sport? >> impossible for him to do that. the last time a president tried, what you're essentially calling the rose garden strategy where a president says i'm too busy to get into the american little game doesn't work. he's got to weather through this and, look, he's a great debater and mitt romney, who did a fairly good job during the g ork p runoff. so
were they in 2000 when george bush told a first election? where were they in ohio when he stole second election? where were they in the war in iraq? as far as parties go, the democrats control both congress, the senate, and the president to help people passed social security and medicare and food stamps. any port middle-class or working-class person that boats for a republican -- that votes for republicans -- this world would be back with it was in the 1930's. people to have the minimum wage. \ guest: that was very interesting laying out what is happening in this country. you raise the issue of the minimum wage. the democrats have not been pushing for that to be increased either. this is a very serious issue, the issue of a minimum wage of eight livable wage. -- oh a little -- of a liv able. i agree it is not a liberal media in this country. let's go back to the bombing of iraq in 2003. there was a report of the four nightly newscasts. in a two-week period, colin powell pushing for war in the u. n, it was the final nail in the coffin. he had been hesitant about the war. he was very cre
to john kerry losing narrowly to george w. bush in that state, the president has a couple huge advantages we're seeing in the ten-point game, one is the auto bailout. there is no state besides michigan be impacted more positively by the auto bailout than ohio. 82 out of 88 counties have an auto parts supplier in them that's felt a direct effect of the bailout. part of why the economy is doing better there. it's enough to move the needle. also the case that anti-union backlash in the industrial midwest and wisconsin has motivated organized labor in ohio in a way, the case always for democrats ohio is the place where organized labor has the most impact. this year motivating them more so. all that adds up to it's been an uphill climb for mitt romney, ten points is probably not what that margin will be on election day, but it's -- it is a state that's very hard to figure out a map for mitt romney to win. possible but not -- very hard. almost kind of fantastical, ha his naer to. >> so many other things about mitt romney -- >> it's just very, very hard. >> kurt andersen a son of the midwest is.
. americans have shown their willingness to do so. the carter election and the first george bush election when bill clinton got elected, but they have to have a reason. they have to have a reason. >> isn't obama's record a good reason? should not mitt romney be talking more about that record? >> he should, but he also has to couple that with why he would be different. what would he do? on the issue of debt that you just talked about, on the issue of debt, romney we saw softened his position on how big a tax cut he could give under the romney/ryan budget because they added up the numbers. you can't give a $5 trillion tax cut and do anything meaningful about the debt. as bill clinton said, they finally did the math. his original plan would have blown it up more than anything president obama could do. so you can't just attack. you have to say, this is what my opponent has done wrong. this is how i'll change it. and he has done a fair job. he could do a better job on what my opponent has done wrong, but he has to come up with this is how i'll change it. it's important. >> thanks so much. >> help m
now to "clear the air." and up until now former president george w. bush has managed to stay out of the spotlight much to the relief of mitt romney. even when his wife, laura, agreed to host a lavish fund-raiser for mr. romney at their home in dallas, mr. bush made sure he was nowhere to be seen. but just to be clear, bush 43 has expressed some support for mr. romney, sort of. >> interested in politics, i'm a supporter of mitt romney, hope he does well, but, you know, he can do well without me. >> president bush clearly understands that most republicans don't want to recall his period in the white house. the massive tax cuts that threw away a budget surplus, two wars that were neither budgeted for nor easily executed, and a mortgage mess that was the direct result of minimal egg lation and maximum exploitation. that's why we were a little surprised to learn that george b. bush has accepted an invitation to be the keynote speaker at a forthcoming investors conference will will take place on the cayman islands. yes, even as mr. bush avoids romney the man, he's getting closer to som
to spend that money early? >> they were very smart. they did exactly to mitt romney what george bush did to john kerry a few years ago. but romney's people should have been smart enough to know this was happening. there was no presumption of that. they didn't get out aahead of the story. they didn't define their candidate well. there's two parts to this election, chris. one, is romney said a lot of people are unhappy with obama and his leadership and the economy. we accept that. he never made the connection that i'm the answer and solution. that's where the disconnect happened. >> mitt romney has been doing a lot to -- we saw it starting at the conventions. make himself more acceptable and help people understand him better. he's doing these direct into the camera ads. let me play one of those for you. >> more americans are living in poverty than when president obama took office. my plan will create 12 million new jobs over the next four years. helping lift families out of poverty and strengthening the middle class. >> the president is doing the same thing, doing some of these direct to c
ahead of george burke, after the sigh, he stalled out and george bush still lost that election, but he closed in close enough for the supreme court to make the call at home plate. but, my favorite, the absolute best debate moment of all lloyd benson, 1988 versus dan quayle. >> i have as much experience in the congress as jack kennedy did when he got the presidency. >> senator i served with jack kennedy. i knew jack kennedy. jack kennedy was a friend of mine. senator, you're no jack kennedy. [ cheers and applause ] >> that was really uncalled for senator. >> you're the one that was making the comparison, senator. >> oh, smack! >> i love that! >> and there's one more. let's keep them on a high note. there's one more not from a general election debate but from a primary just last year with one of our favorite candidates in the republican primary mr. governor rick perry. >> it's three agencies of government i when i got there that are gone, commerce, education and the -- what's the third one there? oh,! >> commerce, education and the... >> e.p.a.? >> e.p.a. >> seriously? is e.p.a. what you
's got to do what george w. bush did in 2000 at one point in the evening and run the board. he's got to win all of these swing states. >> he does. the good news, it's headed the right direction. >> he can do it. >> absolutely. in late september, early october 2000, we were down three to five points. everybody said the campaign was completely screwed up. everybody should be fired. george bush went on to win all three debates, run the tables, as you've said, and turn it around and was up three. so it's absolutely possible. and i think this is big stakes. i mean, this is really an opportunity where people -- >> tonight is -- tonight is a huge debate. it really is. >> it's huge for all the obvious reasons. >> for the obvious reasons. >> but there's a lot of people that have heard a lot about romney and really haven't seen him. >> right. >> tonight they're going to get to see him all alone, mano a mano, and it's a real opportunity for them to get a sense of who he is, what he believes because they've just heard a lot. they haven't seen it. they're going to see it tonight. this is a real o
important, but the meaner counts. >> reporter: an impatient george bush checks his watch and suffers for it. >> people said, what, he doesn't think this is important enough to stick around another ten minutes? >> reporter: al gore hurt by his impatient sighing. this year, look for this. >> i have never seen as much lying as i have in this campaign. >> reporter: wow. well, if that happens tomorrow night, it is our goal to let you know. now, look for substance, but look also for the theatrics. watch the candidates when they leave the wings. the first guy to put out his hand to get the handshake, he wants to be the friendliest, to be in control, to have body language that matters. he's going to grab that elbow, and derek, i'm in control here. >> you know what, nuremberg? let's not get crazy. get out of here. right now on facebook, we are asking what topics you hope the president and mitt romney will be talking about tomorrow night, but tonya writes health care and social security. she's not the only one. chris writes passing a budget. the lack after budget is costing this country way too much
percent. >> yes. >> gretchen: what about the other 90 percent? >> steve: george bushes fault? >> gretchen: i am anding a question. >> you are exposing the attitude of the establishment media to all of president obama and his economic record. break it down. the president said i am only 10 percent responsible for a massive accumulation of debt. he is a big spender, a very big spender and that's the principle reason why we have a massive deficit of trillion a year. he has raised government spending the latestleast of modern presidents. but he raised it 23. look at pure obama areas, he is the biggest spending since president truman. >> steve: what is interesting george bush 3.2. spending up 3.2. over lap bush and obama 10 percent . the cure obama years. 10-13. that is 23 percent increase. >> steve: why didn't you make that available to people of 60 minutes. >> would they have use today? i don't think so. >> brian: it was carried over with interest. and he's only responsible for 10 percent of the deficit that is being pened on him. >> you can juggle around the numbers all you like. he said it
the liberal media for the campaign's troubles. the press didn't treat ronald reagan and george w. bush any less unfairly, and both men managed not only to win the presidency but to get re-elected. mr. romney would do better to focus more on reducing his unforced errors and less on the fourth estate's political bias. if whining about the liberal media was a winning strategy for republicans, newt gingrich would be the nominee." >> well, and newt gingrich is a great example -- i don't mean to go back there -- a great example of the problem we're talking about here. because -- >> no. >> -- no, instead of stepping forward and separating himself from this candidate, he somehow, because of his party -- >> todd akin is going to lose. that's a distraction. >> it is. >> i'm talking about the presidential race. we're one week out from the first presidential debate, and we have brand-new polling out this morning from three separate swing states that show this race is slipping away. >> and they're the big three. >> and they're the big three, mika. >> yes, they are. are you ready? >> i'm ready for you t
with george w. bush, which cost him a lot -- sign in and moaning throughout the debate the george w. bush, which cost compared the -- cost him the debate. if there are not a lot of those 47% comments that president running mate -- did i say president running? -- mitt romney? mitt romney apologized. host: let's look at tom and said governor romney made yesterday about the debate. -- that governor romney made yesterday about the debate. [video clip] >> there is a lot of interest, people want to know who will win, who will score, and in my view it is not winning and losing, or the people themselves, the president and myself. it is about something bigger than that. these debates are about the pathway for word for america that we would choose, and the american people will have to make their choice. i look forward to these debates. i am delighted that we will have three debates. he will be a conversation with the american people that will span almost an entire month. host: mitt romney on the campaign trail yesterday. we have seen the candidates talk about this low expectation game. howard kurtz
with a trend line similar it to george w. bush. the american people like him, but they're open to somebody better. mitt romney is now the next massachusetts guy who maybe was a flip-flopper in the past like john kerry. can he close the sale with the american people? this is a referendum on mitt romney all aalong. we already had a referendum on obama. it was the 2010 midterm elections. this is not about what happened in the next four years, but it's about who will do a better job for the next four years. romney needs to present something other than, jie, hasn't obama sucked? you cannot win like that. howard dean would be the democratic nominee and president of the united states if that was the case. you have to give people a reason to vote for you. >> steve, you make pay compelling argument there. the debates, perhaps, michael, the next opportunity and the last opportunity for mitt romney to make this case. both sides have elised memos. this is beth myers of the romney campaign. this is what she says in part. it's clear that president obama will use his ample rhett for cal gifts in debating
obama's leadership created more private sector jobs than eight years of george w. bush, so i think what all of the economists would agree is that there is steady job creation that's happening. it could happen more quickly if republicans in congress would vote for some of the president's joks -- jobs initiatives. jobs. >> your bottom line is that republicans have stunted the growth of the economy? >> i think they've been trying hard. i think they voted against every single jobs initiative the president has sent to the hill, and in an effort to try to slow the economy before the election. they haven't been able to do it. we're still creating jobs instead of losing them as we were under george bush. >> you can't be happy that economic growth is but 1.3% in a quarter is not great. it's growth. i grant you that. but it's the same as it was a year ago. where is the improvement? >> well, when you compound it, i mean, it's -- maryland, for example, we've recovered 70% of the jobs we lost during the bush recession. we haven't recovered all that we lost during the bush recession, but it's clearly
of political sentiment statewide. george bush won here in 2004, and went on to win ohio and reelection. barack obama prevailed here in 2008, won the state and the presidency. each rode a wave of enthusiasm that folks here say is missing this time around, something that should concern both campaigns as they try to get out the vote. >> could i leave you with some information then? >> sure can. >> reporter: lake county is more moderate republican than tea party, and here's where romney may have some trouble. >> you're going to give them an elbow on the way around. >> reporter: libby hill is a karate instructor and longtime republican who exemplifies the jentder gap romney must narrow. what would rop me have to do to bring you back in the fold? >> i think he'd have to come more to the center. >> reporter: her party is too conservative, she says, and its nominee too removed. >> he really doesn't know the common man. >> reporter: here in ohio, that's a very hard perception to change, and it's made all the harder, scott, when you have fewer than six weeks to change it. >> pelley: dean, thanks very mu
. the margin was quite high. it's important to remember that george w. bush and call rove had a brilliant strategy of our reach to hispanic voters, and it was successful. george w. bush in 2004 won at least 40 percent of the vote. the exit polling had a net 44. but it was a remarkable accomplishment. and now romney is pulling at best in the mid-20s. and his own campaign said they need to reach 38 percent nationally in order to be competitive in the states where the latino vote will be critical. so what the republican party has done is to merge to the right instead of george of the bush, carl rove, john mccain. let's reach out to hispanics and make immigration reform something beefier. a party where mitt romney now embodies the party. he promised to veto. he is on a radical policy prescription. the idea of making life so miserable year that immigrants are literally purge from the country. so this looks to the right has hit badly with hispanics. that means as you point out in your paper the southwest is out of reach with of, in large part because of this. they pulled out of the mexico. they
cutting public education. that's the bottom line. he wants to keep all of george bush's tax cuts for everyone and then he wants to add a $5 trillion tax cut as the central plank of his policy. and in order to do that, he won't hesitate to despairage hard-working teachers, because after all, they are a part of the 47% that he believes jeopardize the performance of the country. that's why mitt romney is willing to cut education. >> governor, didn't mitt romney admit today it's about going after a voting bloc? >> that was a disgrace what he said there. he's been financed by the coke brothers who write fat checks from their booty they take in from all over the place. i wouldn't mind being responsive to the millions of teachers all over america, at least they are real americans, opposed to these two americans using their money to influence the election system. that was maybe the worst thing he said. he said a lot of awful things, but that was really pretty rank. >> mayor, what would you do if your state were to cut education again? how would you fund it? what would you do? where do ma
of george bush or because of other insane ideas. here is the real question. would you want nuclear weapons in this man's hands? under president obama, that is directly where we are going. since president obama has been in office, iran has enriched uranium three times more. they getting close to having nuclear material. that, to me, is a red lie, having nuclear material. >>neil: do you think they already have it? >>guest: could be. i don't have the classified information. i would not want to bet my life on the fact they don't have it. here is the risk of their having it. forget the missiles. handing it off to the terrorist groups they are presently supplying today. they are in communication with 20 do 30 terrorist groups. they give them all kinds of ammunition and weapons. if they had nuclear material they could hand it to a terrorist. necessity -- they were going to kill the saudi ambassador in washington. they lied their way out of it. president obama is approach that leads behind. he would have to have proof, by now, they were responsible. >>neil: much has been made with the president no
george w. bush narrowly defeat al gore in the sunshine state? could that happen again. well, roseanne barr if she has her way it might happen again. she is on the ballot in florida. here's craig. >> we will move forward together. >> we are going to take the white house. thank you so very much. >> and president obama and governor mitt romney make their way through the battleground states one presidential candidate came here to oakland, california tortion talk about a special issue in her campaign. >> who pays for this failed system of endless is war, endless debt and endless debt? pot smokers. >> we caught up with domestic goddess turned presidential candidate roseanne barr during a town hall meeting at america's first candidate's college. >> locking up your own tax base is simply stupid. when the president and military in dust -- industrial complex is closed down we will be able to grow h e&s mohamed p which will save all of our assets. >> what made you decide to run for president. >> same thing that made we wanted to do a sitcom. sitting home and watching tv before i did the sitcom i
. george w. bush in 2004 won at least 40% of the vote, the exit polling had him at 44, but most experts say it was 40. still, it was a remarkable accomplishment. and now romney's polling at best in the mid 20s with the hispanic vote. and his own campaign as said they need to reach 38% nationally in order to be competitive in the states where the latino vote will be critical. so what the republican party has done, obviously, is lurched to the right in recent years. instead of george w. bush, karl rove, john mccain, let's reach out to hispanics and make immigration reform something we're for. mitt romney now embodies the part he says arizona's a model, he's promised to veto the dream act, and he's for self-deportation, the idea of manging life so -- making life so miserable here that immigrants are literally purged from the country. so this lurch to the right has hurt him badly. that strategy means, as you point out in your excellent paper, really the southwest is out of reach for them in large part because of this. they've pulled out of new mexico. they have a shot in colorado and nevada, bu
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